China’s Rare Earth Squeeze May Push India–US Deal to Finish Line

Context

China has tightened export restrictions on rare earth elements, adding five more elements to its control list.

  • This move intensifies China–US trade tensions and may speed up India–US cooperation in critical mineral supply chains to reduce dependence on China
  • Key Highlights
  • China added five rare earth elements to its export control list effective 8 November 2025.
  • US President Donald Trump threatened 100 percent tariffs on Chinese goods in response.
  • India imported 2270 tonnes of rare earth elements in 2023–24, 65 percent from China.
  • IREL Limited, a public sector enterprise, has a processing capacity of over 10000 tonnes per year.

Detailed Insights

  • Rare earth elements include 17 metals used in electronics, renewable energy, defence technology, semiconductors and magnets.
  • China controls 60 percent of global mining and 90 percent of processing of rare earths.
  • India is increasing self-reliance through:
    • Seabed mineral exploration
    • Rare earth industrial parks
    • Collaboration with Quad countries for mineral security
  • The United States is reducing reliance on China by:
    • Domestic mineral processing
    • Recycling technologies
    • Deep-sea mining research
  • China’s move is seen as a strategic response before a possible Xi–Trump meeting.
  • The India–US trade deal on critical minerals may gain momentum due to shared concerns over supply chain security.

Impact on India

  • Import dependency on China makes India vulnerable to supply disruptions.
  • Rare earths are vital for EV batteries, defence systems, satellites and electronics.
  • Strategic cooperation with United States, Australia and Japan is key through the Mineral Security Partnership MSP.

Government Initiatives

  • National Mineral Exploration Policy 2016
  • MMDR Amendment Act 2023 allowing private sector mining of critical minerals
  • Deep Ocean Mission to explore polymetallic nodules
  • Critical Minerals List 2023 released by the Government of India

Challenges

  • Lack of refining and separation technology in India
  • Environmental issues linked to deep-sea mining
  • China’s price manipulation risk
  • Weak e-waste recycling capacity

Way Forward

  • Forge strategic mineral partnerships with trusted countries
  • Develop domestic refining and magnet production
  • Establish National Critical Minerals Reserve
  • Promote battery and magnet recycling

 

 

 

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