El Niño–La Niña Cycle and Global Temperature Spikes

Context:
Recent studies indicate that changes in the El Niño–La Niña cycle, combined with global warming, have contributed to significant temperature spikes observed since 2023.

Key Highlights:

  • Climate Pattern Shift
  • The world experienced an unusual “triple-dip La Niña” from 2020 to 2023.
  • This was followed by a transition to El Niño, causing rapid temperature increases.
  • Updated Climate Classification
  • The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) has updated El Niño/La Niña classification methods to reflect changing climate patterns.
  • Rising Global Temperatures
  • Global average monthly temperatures began rising from early 2023 through 2025.

Relevant Prelims Points:

  • El Niño
    • Periodic warming of sea surface temperatures in the equatorial Pacific Ocean.
    • Alters global weather patterns, often causing droughts or floods.
  • La Niña
    • Cooling of equatorial Pacific Ocean waters, producing opposite climatic effects to El Niño.
  • Triple-Dip La Niña
    • Rare phenomenon where La Niña persists for three consecutive years.
  • Earth’s Energy Imbalance
    • Difference between solar energy absorbed by Earth and energy radiated back into space.

Relevant Mains Points:

  • Climate Change Linkages
  • Long-term greenhouse gas emissions contribute significantly to global warming.
  • The El Niño–La Niña cycle amplifies temperature variability.
  • Contribution to Temperature Rise
  • About 23% of energy imbalance during recent warming came from the prolonged La Niña phase.
  • More than half of the warming is attributed to greenhouse gas emissions.
  • Environmental Impacts
  • Increased heatwaves, extreme rainfall, and drought events globally.
  • Disruptions to agriculture, fisheries, and water resources.
  • Way Forward
  • Strengthen climate monitoring and early warning systems.
  • Enhance global climate mitigation efforts to reduce greenhouse gas emissions.
  • Improve climate-resilient agriculture and disaster preparedness.

UPSC Relevance:

  • GS Paper I: Physical geography and climatic phenomena.
  • GS Paper III: Climate change and environmental sustainability.
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