Context:
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Indian exporters are recalibrating trade strategies after the imposition of 50% U.S. tariffs effective August 27, which significantly impacted access to the American market.
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By diversifying exports towards Asia, Europe, and West Asia, several sectors have managed to mitigate losses, reflecting resilience amid shifting global trade dynamics.
Key Highlights:
Impact of U.S. Tariffs on Indian Exports
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The steep tariffs led to a sharp decline in exports to the U.S., particularly in price-sensitive and low-margin sectors.
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Despite this, overall goods exports dipped only 1.5% in September, underscoring the effectiveness of diversification.
Sector-wise Performance
Gems and Jewellery
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Exports to the U.S. fell by 76% in September.
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Losses were offset by increased shipments to UAE, Hong Kong, and Belgium, highlighting strong alternative trade linkages.
Marine Products
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Marine exports grew by 25% in September and 11% in October.
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Growth driven by rising demand from China, Japan, Thailand, and the European Union.
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Shrimp exports, worth $4.88 billion in FY25, remain vulnerable due to low margins and high U.S. dependence.
Auto and Other Sectors
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Some auto components and related exports have also found new markets in Asia and Europe, cushioning the tariff shock.
Sectors Facing Stress
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Labour-intensive sectors like cotton garments and sports goods are struggling to diversify due to:
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Intense competition from China and ASEAN countries
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Thin profit margins
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Sports goods exports, with 40% dependence on the U.S., declined by 6% in October.
Government Push for Diversification
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The Commerce and Industry Ministry is actively encouraging exporters to access new markets.
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EU approvals for Indian marine units increased by 25%, with 102 additional units cleared, enabling higher exports to Europe.
Limits of Diversification
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Officials estimate that only $2 billion worth of exports can realistically be redirected, compared to over $8 billion earlier shipped to the U.S.
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An SBI Ecowrap report notes growing exports to UAE, China, Vietnam, Japan, Hong Kong, Bangladesh, Sri Lanka, and Nigeria.
Global Trade Rerouting Trends
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Decline in container shipments from India and China.
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Rise in shipments from Indonesia, Thailand, and Vietnam, indicating supply chain rerouting in response to tariffs.
Relevant Prelims Points:
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Issue: Impact of high U.S. tariffs on Indian exports.
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Tariff Rate: 50% (effective August 27).
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Key Export Markets Gaining Share: UAE, EU, China, Japan, ASEAN nations.
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Vulnerable Sectors: Shrimp, cotton garments, sports goods.
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Trade Term: Diversification – reducing reliance on a single export market.
Relevant Mains Points:
Economy (GS III):
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Export diversification as a strategy for trade resilience.
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Structural vulnerabilities of low-margin, labour-intensive sectors.
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Importance of market access, standards, and approvals (e.g., EU clearances).
International Relations (GS II):
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Trade policy shocks reshaping global trade linkages.
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India’s need to balance relations with major markets while expanding South–South trade.
Way Forward:
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Accelerate FTAs and trade facilitation with EU, ASEAN, and West Asia.
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Support value addition and branding in labour-intensive sectors.
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Enhance logistics efficiency and standards compliance.
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Promote export credit and risk mitigation for MSME exporters.
UPSC Relevance (GS-wise):
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GS II: International trade relations, tariff impacts
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GS III: Economy, exports, diversification, supply chains
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Prelims: Tariffs, export diversification, trade rerouting
