Exports to U.S. Fall: Marine, Auto, Jewellery Find New Markets

Context:

  • Indian exporters are recalibrating trade strategies after the imposition of 50% U.S. tariffs effective August 27, which significantly impacted access to the American market.

  • By diversifying exports towards Asia, Europe, and West Asia, several sectors have managed to mitigate losses, reflecting resilience amid shifting global trade dynamics.

Key Highlights:

Impact of U.S. Tariffs on Indian Exports

  • The steep tariffs led to a sharp decline in exports to the U.S., particularly in price-sensitive and low-margin sectors.

  • Despite this, overall goods exports dipped only 1.5% in September, underscoring the effectiveness of diversification.

Sector-wise Performance

Gems and Jewellery

  • Exports to the U.S. fell by 76% in September.

  • Losses were offset by increased shipments to UAE, Hong Kong, and Belgium, highlighting strong alternative trade linkages.

Marine Products

  • Marine exports grew by 25% in September and 11% in October.

  • Growth driven by rising demand from China, Japan, Thailand, and the European Union.

  • Shrimp exports, worth $4.88 billion in FY25, remain vulnerable due to low margins and high U.S. dependence.

Auto and Other Sectors

  • Some auto components and related exports have also found new markets in Asia and Europe, cushioning the tariff shock.

Sectors Facing Stress

  • Labour-intensive sectors like cotton garments and sports goods are struggling to diversify due to:

    • Intense competition from China and ASEAN countries

    • Thin profit margins

  • Sports goods exports, with 40% dependence on the U.S., declined by 6% in October.

Government Push for Diversification

  • The Commerce and Industry Ministry is actively encouraging exporters to access new markets.

  • EU approvals for Indian marine units increased by 25%, with 102 additional units cleared, enabling higher exports to Europe.

Limits of Diversification

  • Officials estimate that only $2 billion worth of exports can realistically be redirected, compared to over $8 billion earlier shipped to the U.S.

  • An SBI Ecowrap report notes growing exports to UAE, China, Vietnam, Japan, Hong Kong, Bangladesh, Sri Lanka, and Nigeria.

Global Trade Rerouting Trends

  • Decline in container shipments from India and China.

  • Rise in shipments from Indonesia, Thailand, and Vietnam, indicating supply chain rerouting in response to tariffs.

Relevant Prelims Points:

  • Issue: Impact of high U.S. tariffs on Indian exports.

  • Tariff Rate: 50% (effective August 27).

  • Key Export Markets Gaining Share: UAE, EU, China, Japan, ASEAN nations.

  • Vulnerable Sectors: Shrimp, cotton garments, sports goods.

  • Trade Term: Diversification – reducing reliance on a single export market.

Relevant Mains Points:

Economy (GS III):

  • Export diversification as a strategy for trade resilience.

  • Structural vulnerabilities of low-margin, labour-intensive sectors.

  • Importance of market access, standards, and approvals (e.g., EU clearances).

International Relations (GS II):

  • Trade policy shocks reshaping global trade linkages.

  • India’s need to balance relations with major markets while expanding South–South trade.

Way Forward:

  • Accelerate FTAs and trade facilitation with EU, ASEAN, and West Asia.

  • Support value addition and branding in labour-intensive sectors.

  • Enhance logistics efficiency and standards compliance.

  • Promote export credit and risk mitigation for MSME exporters.

UPSC Relevance (GS-wise):

  • GS II: International trade relations, tariff impacts

  • GS III: Economy, exports, diversification, supply chains

  • Prelims: Tariffs, export diversification, trade rerouting

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