Fiscal Health of States Under Strain as Public Debt Trebles in a Decade

Context:
A recent CAG (Comptroller and Auditor General of India) report highlights a sharp deterioration in the fiscal health of Indian states, with combined public debt tripling over the last 10 years, raising serious concerns about fiscal sustainability, governance efficiency, and long-term economic stability. The report also underscores the increasing adoption of digital tools, AI/ML, and remote auditing mechanisms to strengthen public financial management.

Key Highlights:

Public Debt Trends

  • Combined public debt of 28 states increased from ₹17.57 lakh crore (2013–14) to ₹59.60 lakh crore (2022–23).
  • Indicates rising fiscal stress due to higher borrowing, revenue-expenditure mismatch, and post-pandemic fiscal pressures.

Technological Interventions by CAG

  • AI/ML-based forensic audits used to detect fraudulent beneficiaries in state welfare schemes.
  • Plans to roll out remote audits across all government departments with digitised databases.
  • Enables timely audits, wider coverage, and cost-effective oversight.

Digitisation & Public Financial Management

  • Successful remote audits conducted in:
    • GST
    • Stamp & Registration
    • e-Procurement
    • Works Audit
    • Direct Benefit Transfer (DBT) schemes
  • Push towards 100% database-based GST and Income Tax audits.

Supporting Government Initiatives

  • SNA SPARSH: Improves cash management and fund flow tracking.
  • Special Assistance to States for Capital Investment:
    • Encourages states to invest in IT infrastructure.
    • Supports implementation of IFMS across departments.

Key Concepts Involved

  • Public Debt: Total outstanding borrowings of a government.
  • IFMS (Integrated Financial Management Information System): Digital platform for budgeting, accounting, treasury, and reporting.
  • AI/ML: Used for pattern recognition, anomaly detection, and fraud identification in large datasets.

Relevant Prelims Points:

  • Issue & Causes
    • Rapid rise in revenue expenditure
    • Increased borrowing post-COVID
    • Limited own tax revenue of states
    • Dependence on market loans
  • Government Initiatives
    • Digitisation of audits
    • Remote auditing framework
    • AI/ML-based forensic audits
    • SNA SPARSH
    • Special Assistance to States for Capital Investment
  • Benefits
    • Better fiscal transparency
    • Reduced leakages in welfare schemes
    • Improved cash and debt management
  • Challenges
    • Rising interest burden
    • Data quality and cybersecurity risks
    • Uneven digital capacity across states
  • Impact
    • Long-term fiscal sustainability concerns
    • Need for responsible borrowing and reforms

Relevant Mains Points:

  • Key Facts & Provisions
    • States’ debt reached ₹59.60 lakh crore by 2022–23
    • CAG’s constitutional role under Article 148
  • Conceptual & Static Linkages
    • Fiscal Responsibility and Budget Management (FRBM) framework
    • Centre–State fiscal relations
    • Public debt sustainability
  • Keywords
    • Fiscal stress, cooperative federalism, digital governance, forensic audit
  • Way Forward
    • Strengthen state revenue mobilisation
    • Rationalise subsidies and revenue expenditure
    • Expand technology-driven audits with strong data protection
    • Improve fiscal transparency and accountability
    • Encourage outcome-based budgeting and debt management strategies

UPSC Relevance (GS-wise):

  • GS Paper 2: Governance, federalism, role of constitutional bodies (CAG)
  • GS Paper 3: Public finance, fiscal policy, technology in governance, economic stability
  • Prelims: Public debt, CAG, IFMS, AI/ML in governance
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