GST Rationalisation to Two-Rate Structure Unlikely to Burden Government: Crisil

Context:

  • According to a Crisil report, the recent GST rate rationalisation is unlikely to impose a fiscal burden on the government despite an estimated short-term annualised revenue loss of ₹48,000 crore.
  • The reform follows a GST Council decision to simplify the tax structure by moving towards a two-rate GST regime.

Key Highlights:

Government Initiative / Policy Details:

  • GST Council Decision:
    • Rationalisation of GST slabs from multiple rates to a two-rate structure of 5% and 18%.
    • New rates effective from September 22.

Fiscal Estimates & Data:

  • Estimated short-term revenue loss: ₹48,000 crore annually.
  • Total GST collections (previous fiscal): ₹10.6 lakh crore, indicating a strong revenue base.

Revenue Composition Before Rationalisation:

  • 18% slab: Contributed 70–75% of GST revenue.
  • 12% slab: Contributed 5–6%.
  • 28% slab: Contributed 13–15%.

Sectoral Impact & Coverage:

  • Reduction or removal of the 12% slab is unlikely to significantly affect revenues.
  • Fast-growing services (e.g., mobile tariffs) remain taxed at existing rates.
  • New services such as e-commerce delivery brought under GST at 18%, expanding the tax base.

Economic Rationale:

  • Simplification expected to improve compliance, reduce classification disputes, and boost tax buoyancy.
  • Lower taxes on mass consumption goods may increase disposable income, stimulating demand and indirect tax collections.

Relevant Prelims Points:

  • Issue: GST rate rationalisation and fiscal implications.
  • Causes: Need for simplification, compliance enhancement, and efficient tax administration.
  • Government Initiatives: GST Council-led reform towards a two-rate GST structure.
  • Benefits:
    • Simplified tax system.
    • Wider formalisation of goods and services.
    • Medium-term revenue stability through higher compliance.
  • Challenges:
    • Short-term revenue loss.
    • Transition and rate-adjustment issues for businesses.
  • Impact:
    • Limited fiscal stress due to strong GST base and improved buoyancy prospects.

Relevant Mains Points:

  • Definitions & Concepts:
    • GST: Destination-based indirect tax on supply of goods and services.
    • Tax Buoyancy: Sensitivity of tax revenue growth to GDP growth.
    • Fiscal Burden: Pressure on government finances due to revenue shortfall or expenditure rise.
  • Governance Perspective:
    • Rationalisation enhances ease of doing business and reduces litigation.
  • Economic Perspective:
    • Broadening of tax base offsets rate reductions.
    • Demand-led growth may compensate for initial revenue loss.
  • Way Forward:
    • Monitor revenue trends post-rationalisation.
    • Strengthen GST compliance mechanisms using technology.
    • Gradual convergence towards a simpler, stable GST regime.

UPSC Relevance (GS-wise):

  • GS Paper III: Indian Economy, taxation reforms, fiscal policy.
  • GS Paper II: Governance, GST Council, cooperative federalism.
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