The New Direction for India Should Be Toward Asia

Context:

  • Amid shifting global power dynamics, India’s foreign policy is at a strategic inflection point as it aspires to emerge as a major global economy and technological power.

  • Recent multilateral engagements underline the rise of Asia as the new centre of gravity, necessitating a recalibration of India’s diplomatic, economic, and security priorities.

Key Highlights:

Geopolitical Signals from Global Summits

  • At the 2025 Tianjin SCO Summit, Presidents Putin, Modi, and Xi displayed unity reminiscent of G7-style coordination, signalling Asia-centric multipolarism.

  • The Busan Summit 2025 reinforced the global power shift towards Asia, with visible engagement between US President Trump and Chinese President Xi.

India’s Strategic Autonomy

  • The US seeks to pull India away from China and curb India’s energy ties with Russia, especially oil imports.

  • India has reiterated its commitment to strategic autonomy, refusing alignment with any single bloc.

  • India’s unique challenge:

    • High growth potential

    • Large population with significant development needs

Asia as India’s Economic Future

  • Asia’s market size is projected to surpass that of the US, making it central to India’s long-term growth.

  • Asia is increasingly integrating through shared value chains, offering India deeper trade and technology partnerships.

Multilateral Asian Platforms

  • Growing interlinkages between BRICS, SCO, and ASEAN.

  • Possibility of trade concessions outside WTO frameworks, including selective engagement with China.

Technology, Security & Innovation Focus

  • Cyber warfare identified as a core component of national security, leveraging India’s IT and digital strengths.

  • Artificial Intelligence (AI) seen as critical for:

    • Inclusive economic growth

    • Strategic influence

    • Military capability

Defence Reorientation

  • Call to redirect defence spending towards:

    • AI-enabled systems

    • Air defence, space assets, missiles, drones

  • Potential reduction in:

    • Size of the Army

    • Dependence on imported platforms

India’s AI Mission

  • Requires substantially higher funding for:

    • Indigenous AI research

    • Strategic international collaborations

    • High-performance computing infrastructure

    • Talent development

  • Essential for India’s ambition to be a global power by 2047.

Relevant Prelims Points:

  • Issue: Reorientation of India’s foreign and strategic priorities amid global realignment.

  • Key Drivers:

    • Rise of Asia

    • Multipolar world order

    • Technology-led power shifts

  • Key Concepts:

    • Strategic Autonomy

    • Cyber Warfare

    • Artificial Intelligence (AI)

  • Impact:

    • Greater flexibility in foreign policy

    • Enhanced economic and technological partnerships

Relevant Mains Points:

  • International Relations Dimension:

    • Asia-centric diplomacy aligns with India’s Act East and Neighbourhood First policies.

    • Participation in Asian groupings enhances India’s bargaining power vis-à-vis the West.

  • Economic Perspective:

    • Asian value chains offer resilience against global supply shocks.

    • Trade diversification beyond Western markets is vital for sustained growth.

  • Science & Technology Angle:

    • AI and cyber capabilities are new determinants of national power.

    • Control over data, technology, and innovation ecosystems is strategic.

  • Defence & Security Aspect:

    • Future warfare demands agility, technology dominance, and reduced manpower-intensive models.

  • Way Forward:

    • Deepen integration with Asian economies

    • Invest aggressively in AI and cyber infrastructure

    • Align defence planning with emerging technological realities

    • Maintain strategic autonomy while engaging all major powers

UPSC Relevance (GS-wise):

  • GS 2: International Relations, Strategic Autonomy, Global Order

  • GS 3: Economy, Science & Technology, Defence Modernisation

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