Will the GST rate cuts boost the economy?

GS 3 – ECONOMY

Background
  • On September 3, 2025, the GST Council announced a revision in indirect tax rates.
  • Goods and Services Tax (GST) on several items, especially food items and essential goods, has been reduced.
  • The aim is to support consumption, ensure affordability, and promote growth.
  • However, concerns remain about revenue implications and sectoral imbalances.
 What prompted these changes?
  • The rationalisation process has been ongoing since GST rollout in 2017.
  • The GoM on GST rates, chaired by the States, reviewed suggestions from sectors.
  • The Ministry of Finance and Prime Minister Narendra Modi announced reforms aimed at “next-generation GST reforms.”
  • The revisions aim to address high tax burdens and ensure ease of doing business.
 Key changes in tax rates
  • Several products have seen cuts from 28% to 18%, and some from 18% to 12% or lower.
  • Compensation cess over and above the 28% slab has been reduced in many cases.
  • Tobacco products remain largely unaffected except where necessary adjustments are required.
  • Petrol and diesel remain outside the GST framework.
 Why the rate cuts were necessary
  • Aimed to boost consumption by making products affordable.
  • Lower rates encourage economic activity in sectors affected by high taxes.
  • Helps counter global inflationary pressures.
  • Aligns with government expectations of demand revival and GDP growth.
 Revenue implications
  • The Centre estimates a loss of ₹48,000 crore in annual revenue.
  • Compensation to states will require alternative sources of funding.
  • States have been asked to explore ways to make up for the shortfall, potentially through the 16th Finance Commission.
  • Experts note that the long-term impact depends on how effectively demand and production respond.
 Which sectors are benefiting?
  • Healthcare industry: Benefited from GST reduction, especially medical devices.
  • Renewable energy sector: Praised cuts on solar products and related items.
  • Food and essential goods: Prices expected to drop, boosting demand.
  • Textiles and MSME sector: Labour charges reduced, helping growth.
 Which sectors are concerned?
  • Luxury goods, automobiles, and non-essential items: Likely to see less demand due to reduced spending.
  • Aviation and travel sectors: Impact uncertain as fuel remains outside GST.
  • Tobacco products: Retained at higher tax slabs, affecting sales.
 Future outlook
  • Rate cuts expected to stimulate consumption but must be complemented by reforms in logistics, production, and supply chains.
  • Focus on rationalising rates without harming state revenues.
  • Monitoring demand recovery and inflation trends will guide future fiscal policies.
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